On the possibility of Europe abandoning the USA/NATO framework and aligning with Eurasia, I think you're wise to hedge your bets at present. To be sure, for all the reasons you mention it is absolutely the smart geopolitical move for Europe. However there are many impediments to Europe making such a choice, even if Europe's leaders warm up to it. To this point however, other than Hungary's Orban, who is very much an outlier, no European leader is even hinting at such a prospect. The entrenched European Union bureaucracy in Brussels would diametrically oppose it.
Eighty years of total vassalage under the USA has atrophied Europe's ability to act for itself. On the surface they may appear to retain some agency, but I believe that's a clever facade that the USA is careful to promote. Behind the scenes, in the corridors of power, in government ministries, in European NGO's and the like, the USA is fully entrenched. Washington will have kompromat on every important European politician and bureaucrat, and they won't hesitate to use it in order to keep everyone else in line.
Europe is a civilization all on its own, that is indisputable. But it's a civilization that has fallen under the tight control of a country on the other side of the Atlantic. Europe's agency, either as individual states or as the European Union, has withered. And that is perfect for the USA, which doesn't want an independent Europe. Quite the opposite. A subservient Europe is America's eastern bulwark against the great Eurasian power, Russia.
Europe realigning with Eurasia is a possibility, but it's a slim one at present in my opinion. Europe would have to shuck off its complete subservience to American interests. Doing so would come at an enormous price and bring great upheaval should the USA resist such a move, which they surely will. This is true even though Europe realigning with Eurasia is obviously, for so many reasons, the best geopolitical choice.
Very wise, thank you. I wonder how much longer before the USA will have to withdraw from Eurasia. This will be the big issue for the next decade or more. I will keep following it here.
I only hope that your more optimistic outcome for Europe applies, and UK divorces itself from the so-called "special relationship, which has cost the UK in money and dead young men for generations now. The arrogance of American's "deplomacy" ice me off, we should remember Obama's "there is no special relationship", and remember that it was Russian manpower that won the war, and we survived through help from the Commonwealth nations.
On the possibility of Europe abandoning the USA/NATO framework and aligning with Eurasia, I think you're wise to hedge your bets at present. To be sure, for all the reasons you mention it is absolutely the smart geopolitical move for Europe. However there are many impediments to Europe making such a choice, even if Europe's leaders warm up to it. To this point however, other than Hungary's Orban, who is very much an outlier, no European leader is even hinting at such a prospect. The entrenched European Union bureaucracy in Brussels would diametrically oppose it.
Eighty years of total vassalage under the USA has atrophied Europe's ability to act for itself. On the surface they may appear to retain some agency, but I believe that's a clever facade that the USA is careful to promote. Behind the scenes, in the corridors of power, in government ministries, in European NGO's and the like, the USA is fully entrenched. Washington will have kompromat on every important European politician and bureaucrat, and they won't hesitate to use it in order to keep everyone else in line.
Europe is a civilization all on its own, that is indisputable. But it's a civilization that has fallen under the tight control of a country on the other side of the Atlantic. Europe's agency, either as individual states or as the European Union, has withered. And that is perfect for the USA, which doesn't want an independent Europe. Quite the opposite. A subservient Europe is America's eastern bulwark against the great Eurasian power, Russia.
Europe realigning with Eurasia is a possibility, but it's a slim one at present in my opinion. Europe would have to shuck off its complete subservience to American interests. Doing so would come at an enormous price and bring great upheaval should the USA resist such a move, which they surely will. This is true even though Europe realigning with Eurasia is obviously, for so many reasons, the best geopolitical choice.
Very wise, thank you. I wonder how much longer before the USA will have to withdraw from Eurasia. This will be the big issue for the next decade or more. I will keep following it here.
I only hope that your more optimistic outcome for Europe applies, and UK divorces itself from the so-called "special relationship, which has cost the UK in money and dead young men for generations now. The arrogance of American's "deplomacy" ice me off, we should remember Obama's "there is no special relationship", and remember that it was Russian manpower that won the war, and we survived through help from the Commonwealth nations.